Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.101471 0.112458 0.123734 0.136146 0.149397 0.163094 0.178297
2024-12-29 0.083839 0.100362 0.118195 0.138747 0.161659 0.186299 0.214680
2025-01-05 0.071039 0.091201 0.113951 0.141224 0.172728 0.207692 0.249135
2025-01-12 0.061050 0.083606 0.110104 0.142978 0.182117 0.226696 0.280771
2025-01-19 0.052647 0.076669 0.105973 0.143476 0.189329 0.242736 0.308795
2025-01-26 0.050253 0.076744 0.109998 0.153549 0.207830 0.272068 0.352617
2025-02-02 0.044986 0.072428 0.107971 0.155681 0.216360 0.289358 0.382174
2025-02-09 0.040962 0.069289 0.107054 0.158881 0.225982 0.307869 0.413239
2025-02-16 0.036280 0.064712 0.103789 0.158658 0.230997 0.320549 0.437153
2025-02-23 0.035029 0.064919 0.106902 0.166801 0.246760 0.346711 0.477899
2025-03-02 0.033367 0.064315 0.108750 0.173164 0.260212 0.370061 0.515355
2025-03-09 0.029739 0.060319 0.105478 0.172265 0.263902 0.380895 0.537095
2025-03-16 0.025389 0.054889 0.099985 0.168305 0.263742 0.387250 0.553945
2025-03-23 0.023851 0.053960 0.101119 0.173751 0.276452 0.410570 0.592889
2025-03-30 0.022069 0.052429 0.101217 0.177661 0.287107 0.431359 0.628880
2025-04-06 0.020141 0.050418 0.100408 0.180138 0.295753 0.449561 0.661708
2025-04-13 0.018059 0.047871 0.098545 0.180896 0.301903 0.464442 0.690308
2025-04-20 0.018322 0.049805 0.104000 0.192783 0.323976 0.500909 0.747545
2025-04-27 0.016819 0.048112 0.103359 0.195310 0.332686 0.519423 0.781302
2025-05-04 0.015666 0.046980 0.103555 0.199066 0.343161 0.540395 0.818463
2025-05-11 0.013969 0.044496 0.101270 0.198812 0.347732 0.553288 0.844939
2025-05-18 0.013905 0.045533 0.105130 0.208327 0.366712 0.586139 0.898339
2025-05-25 0.013531 0.045832 0.107667 0.215748 0.382669 0.614936 0.946493